Women and middle-aged voters are dissatisfied with Theresa May due to the controversies of ‘dementia tax’ and school meals. According to the Ipsos MORI research, there is a shift of Labour among women within the age group of 35 to 54. The group is referred to the ‘pinched generation’, and most of the women are likely to juggle between aging parents and children.
The latest and complete Ipsos MORI telephone poll, which went right before the manifesto launch, revealed that the Tories are still suffering from their wobble, while Labour narrows the gap by five points – Mrs May enjoyed one-quarter before campaigning began. Moreover, her personal ratings have gone to the lowest ever.
Politics is changing
The parties are to stand on 8th of June, and the Conservatives are down by about 4% to 45%, Labour is up by 6% to 40%, and Liberal Democrats are stagnant on 7%. The most striking condition is the Labour’s development among the voters, and it has reflected by school meals rows, social care, and more.
Earlier, the Tory manifesto raised funds for care, scrapped free food for infants, and women were dividing 49 to 35 for Conservatives over Labour. The gap has now come at around 45 to 44, and the people are aged between 35 and 54, which led to more of a dramatic twist.
They split 52 to 34 for Conservatives before the social care row. However, now it is 46 for Labour and 36 for Conservatives. Thus, this shows that the sides have switched. Older women, who are 55 and above, seems to have dropped their satisfaction with Mrs May. However, she still seems to have a positive balance.
As the parties race towards No 10, three out of four voters must have decided how they would vote. However, about half of the Lib Dem voters might get into another party. The satisfaction level with Mrs May has gone down by 12%, and this is her lowest rating till today.
Gideon Skinner from Ipsos MORI said that there are more traces of Conservatives’ wobbly week with improvement in Labour again. The last couple of weeks of campaigning seems to credit more towards the Prime Minister’s personal ratings. However, these are all a snapshot of specific times and nothing can be predicted. To sum up, the share of Conservative vote remains high, and Mrs May still seems to be the most capable PM. It is also not likely that every older individual is against her.
The political flak from the elderly continues to hit the Tories. Lady Stowell, Former Cabinet minister, said that there is a lot to learn from the uproar of social care. The Liberal Democrats raised a mock estate agent outside the Tory headquarters to project that elderly people are having to sell their houses.
The Lib Dem leader Tim Farron and UKIP’s Paul Nuttall are currently struggling to get voters. It seems that only 25% are satisfied with Farron, while 18% with Nuttall. Thus, it looks like Mrs May has a clear lead with around 50% to 35%, even if she has narrowed down to 29% from 56% within a month.
On 8 June, Vote Labour
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